The relationship between transport infrastructure and output growth in rural nodal municipalities within South Africa
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.20525/ijrbs.v13i6.3506Keywords:
Transport Infrastructure Investment, Output Growth, Rural Nodal District MunicipalitiesAbstract
Transport infrastructure is an integral part of economic and social development in many countries, including South Africa. Economic growth theories state that a sound transport system enhances accessibility and output. Despite this, rural areas in South Africa face widespread poverty, poor infrastructure and limited access to essential services. This paper aims to examine the impact of transportation infrastructure investment on the output growth of rural nodal district municipalities in South Africa. This study focuses on two main objectives 1) investigating the relationship between transport infrastructure investment and output growth in rural nodal district municipalities and 2) understanding the causal relationship between transportation infrastructure investment and output growth in rural nodal district municipalities—this analysis uses panel data from 2012 to 2019. We used Fisher type (ADF and PP) panel unit root tests (Maddala & Wu,1999) to determine if the variables were stationary. Additionally, we employed Pedroni tests (1999) to ascertain the presence of cointegration among the variables. Once cointegration was confirmed, our study utilised the Panel VECM. A Panel Granger was then conducted to analyse the direction of causality between transportation infrastructure investment and output growth. This study recommends that the government should improve investments in transportation to improve the output of rural nodal district municipalities.
Downloads
References
Arndt, C., Davies, R. & Thurlow, J. (2018). Urbanization, structural transformation, and rural-urban linkages in South. South African Urbanisation Review, Cities Support Programme (CSP) of the National Treasury.
Baltagi, B.H. (2013). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. (5th ed). West Sussex: John Wiley & Sons. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118445112.stat03160
Barro, R.J. (1990). Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth. Journal of Political Economy,98(5, Part 2), Article 103–S125. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/261726
Barro, R.J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004). Economic Growth. (2nd ed). Massachusetts: The MIT Press.
Chakwizira, J., & Mashiri, M. (2015). The State of rural transport research in South Africa-Gauging the policy shifts: 1994-2014. Proceedings of 34th Southern African Transport Conference.
Cheteni, P. (2013). Transport infrastructure investment and transport sector productivity on economic growth in South Africa (1975-2011). Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 13,761-772. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5901/mjss.2013.v4n13p761
Chibba, M. (2014). Contemporary issues on human trafficking, migration, and exploitation. Migration and Development.3 (2):163-173. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/21632324.2014.885286
Department of Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation (DPME). (2019). Towards a 25 Year Review: 1994-2019. [Online] Available at : https://www.dpme.gov.za/news/SiteAssets/Pages/25-Year-Review-Launch/Towards%20A%2025%20Year%20Review.pdf. [Accessed 20 February 2023].
Department of Transport (DoT) of South Africa. (1996). White Paper on National Policy. [Online] Available at : https://www.comair.co.za/Media/Comair/files/level-playing-field/White-Paper-on-Nat-Transport-Policy-1996.pdf . [Accessed 1 February 2023].
Department of Transport (DoT) of South Africa. (2007). Rural Transport Strategy for South Africa. [Online] Available at : https://www.gov.za/sites/default/files/gcis_document/201409/ruraltransportstategy-forsa2007new0.pdf. [Accessed 10 February 2023].
Department of Transport (DoT) of South Africa. (2017). Draft Revised White Paper on National Transport Policy. [Online] Available at : https://www.transprt.gov.za/documents/1162354203/UpdatedNationalWhitePpaerTransport_14082017_2018.pdf/70a8805d-54e7-4f11-aaf5-28b0befbc9a4 . [Accessed 10 February 2023].
Department of Transport (DoT) of South Africa. (2017). National Land Transport Strategic Framework (NLTSF). [Online] Available at: https://www.gov.za/sites/default/files/gcis_document/201702/40621gon132s.pdf. [Accessed 20 February 2023].
Dissou, Y., & Didic S. (2013). Infrastructure and Growth in Asia. Economic Studies in Inequality, Social Exclusion and Well-Being (EIAP). Available a: https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/978-3-319-03137-8_2. [Accessed 1 January 2023]. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-03137-8_2
Dornbusch R., Fischer, S., & Startz, R. (2011). Macroeconomics. Eleventh Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Everatt, D. & Ebrahim, Z. (2020). Urban policy in South Africa. Developing national urban policies: Ways forward to green and smart cities, 281-298. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-3738-7_11
Fan, S., & Chan-Kang, C. (2005). Road Development, Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in China. Research Report of the International Food Policy Research Institute.
Fedderke, J., & Garlick, R. (2008). Infrastructure development and economic growth in South Africa: A review of the accumulated evidence. University of Cape Town Policy Paper Number, (12), 1– 59 28. Cape Town: University of Cape Town.
Gnade, H., Blaauw, P.F., & Greyling, T. (2017). The impact of basic and social infrastructure investment on South African economic growth and development. Development Southern Africa:34(3):347-364. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/0376835X.2017.1308854
Hanyurwumutima, L.K., & Gumede, S. (2021). An analysis of the impact of investment in public transport on economic growth of metropolitan cities in South Africa. Journal of Transport and Supply Chain Management, 15,1-11. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4102/jtscm.v15i0.536
Hlotywa, A., & Ndaguba, E.A. (2017). Assessing the impact of road transport infrastructure on economic development in South Africa. Journal of Transport and Supply Chain Management, 11. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4102/jtscm.v11i0.324
http://www.statssa.gov.za/publications/Report-03-10-09/Report-03-10-092011.pdf. [Accessed 25 January 2023].
Jimenez, E. (1995). Human and physical infrastructure: Public investment and pricing policies in developing countries. Handbook of development economics,3,2773-2843. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1573-4471(95)30020-1
Kayode, O., Babatunde, O., & Abiodun, F. (2013). An empirical analysis of transport infrastructure investment and economic growth in Nigeria. Social Sciences,6,179-188. DOI: https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ss.20130206.12
Kgori, L. & Jakobo, R. (2022). Rural transportation and social inclusion challenges and opportunities: a case study in north west province–ngaka modiri molema district. Proceedings of 40th Southern African Transport Conference.
Kumo, W. L. (2012). Infrastructure investment and economic growth in South Africa: A Granger causality analysis. Working paper No. 160. African Development Bank.
Laird, J. J. & Mackie, P. J. (2014). Wider economic benefits of transport schemes in remote rural areas. Research in Transportation Economics, 47, 92-102. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2014.09.022
Madala, G., & Wu, S. (1999). A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests and a New Simple Test. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,61,631-652. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.61.s1.13
Matsolo, K. (2021). The Effect of Transport Infrastructure Investment on Economic Growth in South Africa. Master’s Dissertation. Nelson Mandela University.
Mayekiso, S.(2015). The impact of transport infrastructure investment on unemployment in South Africa. Master’s Dissertation. University of Fort Hare.
Mhemhe, M. C. (2018). Is it a rip-off or not? changes in the service delivery patterns in the integrated sustainable rural development programme (ISRDP) nodes from 2001 to 2011. Stellenbosch: Stellenbosch University.
Morgenroth, E. (2014). The regional development impacts of transport infrastructure: A literature review and policy implications. Research Series. Available at : https://ideas.repec.org/b/esr/resser/bkmnext278.html. [1 January 2023].
Nkomo, M. & Sehoole, C.(2007). Rural?based universities in South Africa: Albatrosses or potential nodes for sustainable development? International Journal of Sustainability in Higher Education, 8, 234-246. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/14676370710726689
Pedroni, P. (1999). Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (61), 6,53-670. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.0610s1653
Romer, P. (1986). Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth. Journal of Political Economy,5, 1002–1037. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/261420
Ross, D., & Townshend, M. (2018). The economic importance of an optimal road investment policy in South Africa. Proceedings of the 37th Annual Southern African Transport Conference.
Selamolela, N. (2018). The Impact of Transport Infrastructural Development on economic growth in South Africa. Master’s Thesis. University of Cape Town.
Sharma, D., & Tenyane, K. (2019). Does public infrastructure investment contribute to economic growth in South Africa? Bachelor’s Thesis. Jonkoping University.
South Africa: The Presidency. (2000). The Integrated Sustainable Rural Development Strategy (ISRDS). [Online] Available at:https://www.gov.za/sites/default/files/gcis_document/201409/isrds0.pdf. [Accessed 20 January 2023].
South African Government. (2009). National Land Act, No. 5 of 2009. [Online] Available at: https://www.gov.za/sites/default/files/gcis_document/201409/32110413.pdf. [Accessed 20 January 2023].
Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) (2016). Monitoring rural development: Using census data to measure change in the rural nodes. [Online] Available at: http://www.statssa.gov.za/publications/Report-03-10-14/Report-03-10-142011.pdf. [Accessed 20 January 2023].
Statistics South Africa (Stats SA). (2011). Monitoring rural development: Using census data to measure change in the rural nodes. [Online] Available at:
Statistics South Africa (Stats SA). (2014). Quest for nodal development: Evidence from Census 2001 and Census 2011.http://www.statssa.gov.za/publications/Report-03-10-14/Report-03-10-142011.pdf. [Accessed 25 January 2023].
Walters, J. (2013). Overview of public transport policy developments in South Africa. Research in Transportation Economics, 39, 34-45. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2012.05.021
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Fatima Jili, Sanele Gumede

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
For all articles published in IJRBS, copyright is retained by the authors. Articles are licensed under an open access Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, meaning that anyone may download and read the paper for free. In addition, the article may be reused and quoted provided that the original published version is cited. These conditions allow for maximum use and exposure of the work, while ensuring that the authors receive proper credit.